The Earliest Arsenal Can Win the 2025–26 Premier League Title

When Arsenal won the 2003–04 Premier League title without losing a single game, it seemed inconceivable that they would not tighten their stranglehold over the division for years to come.
Yet, it’s been more than two decades and the Gunners are yet to earn another top-flight crown. In fact, four of Mikel Arteta’s current squad were not alive to see that increasingly sepia-toned triumph.
While the club’s fanbase are at pains to avoid tempting fate, many others have widely accepted that the end of this drought will finally arrive this season, even if it looks like the Gunners will eventually crawl over the finish line.
There are still several matches to play and the not-so-small matter of a Manchester City side threatening to discover their best form of the season. However, the most optimistic of supporters have already turned towards that long-awaited coronation date.
Earliest Date Arsenal Can Win Premier League Title

Arsenal’s potential coronation date has been pushed back after they were beaten at home by Bournemouth in their first Premier League outing after the March international break. Still, they could still be crowned champions in early May.
The current league leaders would need Man City to tumble to this in-fighting iteration of Chelsea before the pair meet in a seismic tussle at the Etihad on April 19.
City haven’t lost at home to Arsenal since Santi Cazorla inspired a 2–0 victory in January 2015, with eight of the subsequent 11 clashes in Manchester ending in a local win. The Gunners would seemingly be all but guaranteed the title if they triumph against the odds next week.
For the earliest coronation possible, Arsenal would need to win their subsequent two outings at home against Newcastle United and Fulham, while City must lost at 19th-place Burnley. Three consective league victories despite the Bournemouth defeat would leave the Gunners on the brink, and, in this scenario, they’d be crowned champions if the Cityzens fail to win at Everton on May 4.
Arsenal’s Earliest Coronation
Date | Fixture | Necessary Outcome |
|---|---|---|
April 12 | Chelsea vs. Man City | Man City loss |
April 19 | Man City vs. Arsenal | Arsenal win |
April 22 | Burnley vs. Man City | Man City loss |
April 25 | Arsenal vs. Newcastle | Arsenal win |
May 2 | Arsenal vs. Fulham | Arsenal win |
May 4 | Everton vs. Man City | Man City fail to win |
Likeliest Date the Premier League Title Is Decided

Aside from the crunch game against one another, both Arsenal and Manchester City will be favorites in every remaining Premier League fixture they have. The Gunners have actually already beaten every team they are preparing to face during the run-in this season, aside from City.
While Arsenal have been made to wait more than a decade for a win at the Etihad, Arteta’s side have drawn their previous two trips to the blue half of Manchester. Should the pair share the spoils later this month and win every other fixture, the title could be decided on the penultimate weekend of the season.
If City’s game-in-hand against Crystal Palace is rearranged for Wednesday, May 13 (which is one of two likely options) all eyes will turn to the following weekend of May 17.
The Premier League have not yet announced kickoff dates and times for that stage of the campaign, so it remains to be seen whether Arsenal would even have to play. In the event that City drop points in their trip to Bournemouth that weekend, the Gunners would be champions regardless of their clash with Burnley. Yet, any positive result against the Clarets would remove any reliance upon City’s result.
Arsenal, Man City’s Remaining Premier League Fixtures
Arsenal | Man City |
|---|---|
April 19 - Man City (A) | April 19 - Arsenal (H) |
April 25 - Newcastle (H) | April 22 - Burnley (A) |
May 2 - Fulham (H) | May 4 - Everton (A) |
May 10 - West Ham (A) | May 9 - Brentford (H) |
May 17 - Burnley (H) | May 17 - Bournemouth (A) |
May 24 - Crystal Palace (A) | May 24 - Aston Villa (H) |
TBD - Crystal Palace (H) |
Can the Premier League Title Come Down to the Final Day?

This is a devilishly realistic possibility. City only need to win their game in hand at home to Crystal Palace and defeat Arsenal at the Etihad to close the gap to three points. Should Guardiola’s side match the pace-setters’ results (or even pick up six more points than their rivals) over the subsequent weeks, the two teams would enter the final day within a win of each other.
Arsenal travel to Crystal Palace’s Selhurst Park at the exact same time Manchester City host Aston Villa on the last Sunday of the season. City have already won five Premier League titles on the final day of a campaign, most recently keeping Arsenal at bay in 2023–24.
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Grey Whitebloom is a writer, reporter and editor for Sports Illustrated FC. Born and raised in London, he is an avid follower of German, Italian and Spanish top flight football.